I recently wrote about the best PL(Premier League) defences in part 1. If you have not read it , please check it out here. I will begin where I left out last post. After all most of like a budget defender. For the benefit of anyone who missed my custom table I will repost it here.
We covered the top 6 teams and the big surprise package that was Southampton who managed to come 7th in our rankings.
Now let us take a look at the ‘best of the rest’. There seem to be 3 or 4 clear groups so we shall deal with them likewise.
Newcastle, Leicester, Watford and Crystal Palace
All these 4 teams are pretty close together on the ratings and finished 12th in the CS category with 9 apiece. They all rate between 10.56 to 10.89 in my rankings and that is reflected by their CS haul. All of them conceded an xG around the 50 mark with only Newcastle outperforming on that metric. They conceded only 47 goals even though their xG conceded ( xGcon) was 52.80. Was this down to just luck or good defending due to Rafa Benitez is not clear.
Leicester conceded 67 Big Chances and 286 SiB. They conceded 60 goals for an xGcon of 48.5 suggesting that their defence could potentially improve or that they are too attack minded for their own good.
Burnley and BHA
These 2 teams are unique because even though they rank 11.22, Burnley got 12 CS and Brighton got 10. Burnley have been known to generate poor numbers but get good defensive returns season on season. Sean Dyche is rightly credited for this feat. They allowed more than 550 shots at their goal averaging about 14.5 shots per match. Even their SoT conceded of around 160 is more than the league average of 150.3. However both these teams only conceded around 55 BC which could explain their CS return. Burnley especially conceded only 39 goals from an xGcon of 52.8! This means they have very busy defences but efficient, making their goalkeepers a good prospect.
The Burnley goalkeeping situation is precarious now, but whoever
Huddersfield
They only conceded 442 shots compared to the 571 Burnley let in , 285 SiB as opposed to the 302 allowed by BHA. They got 10 CS and rate higher than the aforementioned group with 10.22. Their undoing seems to be the league high 79 Big Chances let in which was on par with Bournemouth. Their xGcon on target was the 12th highest in the league. So the underlying numbers say that if Wagner can organise them a bit more , they could be a good defence. The other explanation could be that the central midfielders are doing so much defensive work that their attack suffers.
Everton and West Ham
These 2 teams conceded the most SoT with West Ham allowing 187 and Everton 178. They rank as the 15th and 16th best defences out of 17. But the big surprise is they still managed 10 CS. West Ham conceded the most goals in the season with 68. WH let in 322 SiB which was worse than only 2 teams. Everton seem to have slightly better numbers.
Bournemouth
This was the worst defence in the league apart from the relegation candidates. They were so bad that I am surprised Eddie Howe is in the job. If they do not tighten the rearguard or if their attack cannot bail them out, then it looks like a relegation battle thsi year. They conceded the highest xG of 60, most BC of 79 and most Shots in Box of 337. To put that into perspective Liverpool only conceded 284 goal attempts IN TOTAL.
Key Points
- Burnley , Brighton and Huddersfield have decent underlying stats and could get good returns. Their keepers will get both save and CS points.
- Leicester have good stats and they could return CS against lesser opposition.
- Newcastle, Everton may have overperformed and we have to wait.
- West Ham have definitely done more than their numbers suggest and are better avoided.
- Bournemouth- AVOID AT ALL COST!
Thanks for reading
–FD–